Persistent rain and cloud cover from Typhoon Zitan remnants and the active South China Sea monsoon trough are keeping overnight lows near 26–27 °C through 27 August, creating tight market spreads between the 27 °C, 26 °C, and 22 °C-or-below bins. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance shows rainfall easing on the 28th with daytime highs rising toward 31–32 °C, yet lingering moisture and reduced insolation could still limit nighttime radiational cooling and hold the minimum near or below 27 °C. Ensemble guidance remains split on the exact timing of any clearing, producing the observed 45–48 % clustering around these thresholds; traders are therefore weighting the next 48-hour model runs and surface observations for resolution signals ahead of the 28 August minimum-temperature window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
27°C 48%
26°C 41%
28°C 40%
25°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
37%
26°C
41%
27°C
48%
28°C
40%
29°C
24%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
5%
27°C 48%
26°C 41%
28°C 40%
25°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
22°C or below
$22 Vol.
2%
23°C
$22 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
37%
26°C
$0 Vol.
41%
27°C
$0 Vol.
48%
28°C
$0 Vol.
40%
29°C
$0 Vol.
24%
30°C
$22 Vol.
7%
31°C
$22 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$22 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from Typhoon Zitan remnants and the active South China Sea monsoon trough are keeping overnight lows near 26–27 °C through 27 August, creating tight market spreads between the 27 °C, 26 °C, and 22 °C-or-below bins. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance shows rainfall easing on the 28th with daytime highs rising toward 31–32 °C, yet lingering moisture and reduced insolation could still limit nighttime radiational cooling and hold the minimum near or below 27 °C. Ensemble guidance remains split on the exact timing of any clearing, producing the observed 45–48 % clustering around these thresholds; traders are therefore weighting the next 48-hour model runs and surface observations for resolution signals ahead of the 28 August minimum-temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent rain and cloud cover from Typhoon Zitan remnants and the active South China Sea monsoon trough are keeping overnight lows near 26–27 °C through 27 August, creating tight market spreads between the 27 °C, 26 °C, and 22 °C-or-below bins. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance shows rainfall easing on the 28th with daytime highs rising toward 31–32 °C, yet lingering moisture and reduced insolation could still limit nighttime radiational cooling and hold the minimum near or below 27 °C. Ensemble guidance remains split on the exact timing of any clearing, producing the observed 45–48 % clustering around these thresholds; traders are therefore weighting the next 48-hour model runs and surface observations for resolution signals ahead of the 28 August minimum-temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$109End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent rain and cloud cover from Typhoon Zitan remnants and the active South China Sea monsoon trough are keeping overnight lows near 26–27 °C through 27 August, creating tight market spreads between the 27 °C, 26 °C, and 22 °C-or-below bins. Official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau guidance shows rainfall easing on the 28th with daytime highs rising toward 31–32 °C, yet lingering moisture and reduced insolation could still limit nighttime radiational cooling and hold the minimum near or below 27 °C. Ensemble guidance remains split on the exact timing of any clearing, producing the observed 45–48 % clustering around these thresholds; traders are therefore weighting the next 48-hour model runs and surface observations for resolution signals ahead of the 28 August minimum-temperature window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions