The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMA-06 House Election Winner
MA-06 House Election Winner
$26,817 Vol.
$26,817 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
3%
$26,817 Vol.
$26,817 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,589 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$11,228 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,817End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,817End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open MA-06 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Seth Moulton, has drawn a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republicans field limited options such as Micah Jones. Massachusetts’s 6th district has long favored Democratic candidates in general elections, reflecting consistent voter patterns in northeastern communities including Salem and Peabody. With the November 3 general election still months away, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic winner, consistent with the district’s structural lean and historical results. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in turnout, national conditions, or primary dynamics that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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