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icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place
Politics·Brazil

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

André Moura 46%

Delegado André David 45%

Rodrigo Valadares 45%

Paulinho da União Tur 44%

Polymarket
NEW

André Moura 46%

Delegado André David 45%

Rodrigo Valadares 45%

Paulinho da União Tur 44%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for André Moura

André Moura

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Delegado André David

Delegado André David

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Rodrigo Valadares

Rodrigo Valadares

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Paulinho da União Tur

Paulinho da União Tur

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Eduardo Amorim

Eduardo Amorim

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Rogerio Carvalho

Rogerio Carvalho

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Delegado Alessandro

Delegado Alessandro

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Edvaldo

Edvaldo

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Iran Barbosa

Iran Barbosa

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Renatinha

Renatinha

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Coronel Rocha

Coronel Rocha

$0 Vol.

37%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe for the two 2026 Senate seats show a fragmented field of 11 candidates with no dominant frontrunner. Surveys from early August, including Real Time Big Data and IFP, place names such as André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) in a tight cluster, often within single digits amid high undecided shares. This dispersion stems from the open-seat dynamic, regional party competition, and limited consolidation behind any single figure ahead of October voting. Traders price the top contenders near even odds because small shifts in alliances, late withdrawals, or turnout patterns among key blocs could reorder the finish, while Ficha Limpa challenges or asset disclosures add further uncertainty without yet tipping the balance.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls in Sergipe for the two 2026 Senate seats show a fragmented field of 11 candidates with no dominant frontrunner. Surveys from early August, including Real Time Big Data and IFP, place names such as André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado André David (Republicanos), Alessandro Vieira (MDB), Rogério Carvalho (PT), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos) in a tight cluster, often within single digits amid high undecided shares. This dispersion stems from the open-seat dynamic, regional party competition, and limited consolidation behind any single figure ahead of October voting. Traders price the top contenders near even odds because small shifts in alliances, late withdrawals, or turnout patterns among key blocs could reorder the finish, while Ficha Limpa challenges or asset disclosures add further uncertainty without yet tipping the balance.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "André Moura" at 46%, followed by "Delegado André David" at 46%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 46¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" is "André Moura" at 46%, meaning the market assigns a 46% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Delegado André David" at 46%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.