Recent candidate officializations by parties including União Brasil and PL have expanded a crowded field of 11 contenders for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with no dominant polling leader emerging in available surveys through mid-2026. This fragmentation sustains tight implied probabilities for second place, as vote shares remain dispersed across names like André Moura, Coronel Rocha, Delegado Alessandro, and others amid limited statewide data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over regional alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and potential late shifts before the October election, where even modest swings in first-round preferences could reorder finishers without altering the overall competitive balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAndré Moura 44%
Delegado Alessandro 43%
Eduardo Amorim 43%
Edvaldo 43%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
André Moura
44%
Delegado Alessandro
43%
Eduardo Amorim
43%
Edvaldo
43%
Iran Barbosa
43%
Paulinho da União Tur
43%
Rogerio Carvalho
43%
Rodrigo Valadares
42%
Coronel Rocha
42%
Renatinha
42%
Delegado André David
41%
André Moura 44%
Delegado Alessandro 43%
Eduardo Amorim 43%
Edvaldo 43%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
André Moura
$0 Vol.
44%
Delegado Alessandro
$0 Vol.
43%
Eduardo Amorim
$0 Vol.
43%
Edvaldo
$0 Vol.
43%
Iran Barbosa
$0 Vol.
43%
Paulinho da União Tur
$0 Vol.
43%
Rogerio Carvalho
$0 Vol.
43%
Rodrigo Valadares
$0 Vol.
42%
Coronel Rocha
$0 Vol.
42%
Renatinha
$0 Vol.
42%
Delegado André David
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate officializations by parties including União Brasil and PL have expanded a crowded field of 11 contenders for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with no dominant polling leader emerging in available surveys through mid-2026. This fragmentation sustains tight implied probabilities for second place, as vote shares remain dispersed across names like André Moura, Coronel Rocha, Delegado Alessandro, and others amid limited statewide data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over regional alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and potential late shifts before the October election, where even modest swings in first-round preferences could reorder finishers without altering the overall competitive balance.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent candidate officializations by parties including União Brasil and PL have expanded a crowded field of 11 contenders for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with no dominant polling leader emerging in available surveys through mid-2026. This fragmentation sustains tight implied probabilities for second place, as vote shares remain dispersed across names like André Moura, Coronel Rocha, Delegado Alessandro, and others amid limited statewide data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over regional alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and potential late shifts before the October election, where even modest swings in first-round preferences could reorder finishers without altering the overall competitive balance.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent candidate officializations by parties including União Brasil and PL have expanded a crowded field of 11 contenders for Sergipe's two Senate seats, with no dominant polling leader emerging in available surveys through mid-2026. This fragmentation sustains tight implied probabilities for second place, as vote shares remain dispersed across names like André Moura, Coronel Rocha, Delegado Alessandro, and others amid limited statewide data. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over regional alliances, turnout patterns in key municipalities, and potential late shifts before the October election, where even modest swings in first-round preferences could reorder finishers without altering the overall competitive balance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions