Chuck Gray, Wyoming’s secretary of state, holds a clear lead in the August 18 Republican primary for the open at-large House seat because his statewide office gives him unmatched name recognition and a proven primary win record. Recent candidate forums and debates have kept attention on his record on voter ID, proof of citizenship, and public lands policy, while fundraising totals and self-funding by rivals such as Steve Friess have not closed the gap. Traders price the field as competitive among lesser-known challengers, with no late polling shifts or endorsements reported that would alter the frontrunner’s position before primary day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChuck Gray 69%
Steve Friess 26%
Kevin Christensen 4.0%
Reid Rasner 2.6%
$66,079 Vol.
$66,079 Vol.
Chuck Gray
69%
Steve Friess
26%
Kevin Christensen
4%
Reid Rasner
3%
Bo Biteman
1%
David Giralt
<1%
Keith Goodenough
<1%
John Romero-Martinez
<1%
Richard Dodson
<1%
Jillian Balow
<1%
Frank Chapman
<1%
Chuck Gray 69%
Steve Friess 26%
Kevin Christensen 4.0%
Reid Rasner 2.6%
$66,079 Vol.
$66,079 Vol.
Chuck Gray
69%
Steve Friess
26%
Kevin Christensen
4%
Reid Rasner
3%
Bo Biteman
1%
David Giralt
<1%
Keith Goodenough
<1%
John Romero-Martinez
<1%
Richard Dodson
<1%
Jillian Balow
<1%
Frank Chapman
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Chuck Gray, Wyoming’s secretary of state, holds a clear lead in the August 18 Republican primary for the open at-large House seat because his statewide office gives him unmatched name recognition and a proven primary win record. Recent candidate forums and debates have kept attention on his record on voter ID, proof of citizenship, and public lands policy, while fundraising totals and self-funding by rivals such as Steve Friess have not closed the gap. Traders price the field as competitive among lesser-known challengers, with no late polling shifts or endorsements reported that would alter the frontrunner’s position before primary day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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