Recent forecast consensus from agencies including MetService and international models positions Wellington's overnight low on August 25 at 12°C under northwest winds of 30–40 km/h and partly cloudy skies, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability. This reflects consistent guidance showing minimum temperatures holding near 12°C through the night, aligned with seasonal norms for late winter in the region where typical August lows range 8–12°C. Stronger model agreement on stable conditions and limited cloud cover reducing radiative cooling supports the tight trader consensus. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could allow readings to dip to 11°C or lower, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
8月25日惠靈頓的最低溫度？
12°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$4,319 交易量
$4,319 交易量
2026-08-25
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
11°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$4,319 交易量
$4,319 交易量
2026-08-25
8°C or below
$376 交易量
No
9°C
$297 交易量
No
10°C
$250 交易量
No
11°C
$68 交易量
No
12°C
$302 交易量
Yes
13°C
$401 交易量
No
14°C
$265 交易量
No
15°C
$893 交易量
No
16°C
$205 交易量
No
17°C
$733 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$528 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from agencies including MetService and international models positions Wellington's overnight low on August 25 at 12°C under northwest winds of 30–40 km/h and partly cloudy skies, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability. This reflects consistent guidance showing minimum temperatures holding near 12°C through the night, aligned with seasonal norms for late winter in the region where typical August lows range 8–12°C. Stronger model agreement on stable conditions and limited cloud cover reducing radiative cooling supports the tight trader consensus. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could allow readings to dip to 11°C or lower, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$4,319結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from agencies including MetService and international models positions Wellington's overnight low on August 25 at 12°C under northwest winds of 30–40 km/h and partly cloudy skies, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability. This reflects consistent guidance showing minimum temperatures holding near 12°C through the night, aligned with seasonal norms for late winter in the region where typical August lows range 8–12°C. Stronger model agreement on stable conditions and limited cloud cover reducing radiative cooling supports the tight trader consensus. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could allow readings to dip to 11°C or lower, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,319結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecast consensus from agencies including MetService and international models positions Wellington's overnight low on August 25 at 12°C under northwest winds of 30–40 km/h and partly cloudy skies, driving the 96.5% market-implied probability. This reflects consistent guidance showing minimum temperatures holding near 12°C through the night, aligned with seasonal norms for late winter in the region where typical August lows range 8–12°C. Stronger model agreement on stable conditions and limited cloud cover reducing radiative cooling supports the tight trader consensus. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected clear-sky intensification could allow readings to dip to 11°C or lower, though current observations and short-range guidance indicate low likelihood of such deviation before midnight local time.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions