Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 13?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 13?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,231 交易量
$67,231 交易量
2026-05-13
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,231 交易量
$67,231 交易量
2026-05-13
29°C or below
$11,212 交易量
No
30°C
$1,156 交易量
No
31°C
$1,270 交易量
No
32°C
$2,830 交易量
No
33°C
$12,030 交易量
No
34°C
$8,968 交易量
Yes
35°C
$8,862 交易量
No
36°C
$8,201 交易量
No
37°C
$4,397 交易量
No
38°C
$1,573 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$6,733 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
交易量
$67,231结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$67,231结束日期
2026-05-13市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 12:52 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 13, backed by real-time BMKG observations showing a mid-afternoon peak of 34°C at key stations like Halim Perdanakusuma amid partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with the latest short-range forecasts from BMKG and global models like GFS, projecting daytime highs of 33–34°C under tropical monsoon conditions typical for May's dry-season onset, where high solar insolation and urban heat island effects elevate temperatures above the 32°C monthly average. With evening cooling underway and sunset past, further spikes are unlikely, though an improbable late-day sunbreak or station measurement revision could challenge this positioning ahead of BMKG's official daily summary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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