**Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts pinpoint Karachi's maximum temperature at 35°C on May 14 under persistent hot, dry continental tropical air mass conditions, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome with market-implied odds at 100%.** Current observations align, showing daytime highs approaching 35°C amid hazy skies, light winds, and low humidity suppressing further intensification, consistent with global models like GFS and ECMWF showing peak heat around 35°C before evening cooling. Historical May averages hover near 34–36°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge limits upside risks. Realistic challenges include a sudden clear-sky radiative surge or anomalous sea breeze lapse raising peaks to 36°C+, though PMD monitoring and hourly updates through sunset provide final confirmation for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Karachi on May 14?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,754 交易量
$27,754 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,754 交易量
$27,754 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) forecasts pinpoint Karachi's maximum temperature at 35°C on May 14 under persistent hot, dry continental tropical air mass conditions, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome with market-implied odds at 100%.** Current observations align, showing daytime highs approaching 35°C amid hazy skies, light winds, and low humidity suppressing further intensification, consistent with global models like GFS and ECMWF showing peak heat around 35°C before evening cooling. Historical May averages hover near 34–36°C, but today's stable high-pressure ridge limits upside risks. Realistic challenges include a sudden clear-sky radiative surge or anomalous sea breeze lapse raising peaks to 36°C+, though PMD monitoring and hourly updates through sunset provide final confirmation for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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