Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日首尔最低气温？
5月14日首尔最低气温？
12°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 交易量
$29,660 交易量
2026-05-14
11°C或以下
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C或更高
否
12°C 100.0%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$29,660 交易量
$29,660 交易量
2026-05-14
11°C或以下
$12,191 交易量
否
12°C
$3,672 交易量
是
13°C
$1,812 交易量
否
14°C
$2,810 交易量
否
15°C
$1,198 交易量
否
16°C
$1,156 交易量
否
17°C
$3,908 交易量
否
18°C
$805 交易量
否
19°C
$1,011 交易量
否
20°C
$735 交易量
否
21°C或更高
$360 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
交易量
$29,660结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,660结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's morning low temperature reached exactly 12°C around 0600 KST on May 14, aligning with short-range forecast model consensus from prior 24 hours that pinned the daily minimum there amid clear skies and light easterly winds. Daytime highs have climbed to 26°C with increasing solar heating, eliminating further cooling potential and driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 12°C versus negligible odds for 11°C or below. This positioning reflects May climatological norms, where Seoul lows average 12–16°C, supported by stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include an anomalous late-day temperature plunge or official data revision from the primary station, though current synoptic patterns make these highly improbable; final KMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题