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icon for Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Main Election

Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Main Election

Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place

Professor Uzian Pinto 45%

Rayssa Furlan 45%

Alliny Serrão 45%

Capi 45%

Polymarket
NEW

Professor Uzian Pinto 45%

Rayssa Furlan 45%

Alliny Serrão 45%

Capi 45%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Professor Uzian Pinto

Professor Uzian Pinto

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Rayssa Furlan

Rayssa Furlan

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Alliny Serrão

Alliny Serrão

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Capi

Capi

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Randolfe

Randolfe

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Helio Silva

Helio Silva

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Acácio Favacho

Acácio Favacho

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Juíza Jô

Juíza Jô

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Lucas Barreto

Lucas Barreto

$0 Vol.

39%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for first place in Amapá’s two-seat Senate race, while Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), and Alliny Serrão (União Brasil) remain closely bunched in the contest for second. Multiple surveys indicate Barreto and Randolfe technically tied within margins of error when voters select up to two names, with Serrão and others such as Acácio Favacho (MDB) and Capi (PSB) further back. Late July saw formal candidacies and party conventions lock in the field, including Randolfe’s PT launch and Barreto’s PSD ticket, sustaining the competitive positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread among viable contenders, with separation likely to hinge on upcoming voter turnout shifts, coalition alignments, or late-campaign events before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from July 2026 shows Rayssa Furlan (Podemos) holding a clear lead for first place in Amapá’s two-seat Senate race, while Lucas Barreto (PSD), Randolfe Rodrigues (PT), and Alliny Serrão (União Brasil) remain closely bunched in the contest for second. Multiple surveys indicate Barreto and Randolfe technically tied within margins of error when voters select up to two names, with Serrão and others such as Acácio Favacho (MDB) and Capi (PSB) further back. Late July saw formal candidacies and party conventions lock in the field, including Randolfe’s PT launch and Barreto’s PSD ticket, sustaining the competitive positioning. Trader consensus reflects this narrow spread among viable contenders, with separation likely to hinge on upcoming voter turnout shifts, coalition alignments, or late-campaign events before October voting.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Professor Uzian Pinto" at 45%, followed by "Rayssa Furlan" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Professor Uzian Pinto" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rayssa Furlan" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amapá Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.