National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on May 16?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 16?
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 41%
80-81°F 12%
82-83°F 1.4%
$50,089 Vol.
$50,089 Vol.
May 16, 2026
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
41%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 41%
80-81°F 12%
82-83°F 1.4%
$50,089 Vol.
$50,089 Vol.
May 16, 2026
66-67°F
$4,226 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,668 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,861 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$4,261 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$3,056 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,363 Vol.
41%
78-79°F
$2,465 Vol.
46%
80-81°F
$3,289 Vol.
12%
82-83°F
$4,311 Vol.
1%
84°F or higher
$5,328 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$50,089End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$50,089End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service guidance and major forecast models such as GFS and ECMWF currently favor a high near 78–79°F for Denver on May 16, aligning with the market’s leading outcome at 50% implied probability. A strong upper-level ridge over the central Rockies is promoting subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating from overnight lows near 55°F, with dry soils enhancing surface warming above the mid-May climatological normal of 73°F. Light south-southeast winds and minimal cloud cover support peak readings in the late afternoon. An approaching weak shortwave trough adds modest uncertainty that could limit highs to the mid-70s, prompting traders to watch the next 00z model runs and National Weather Service updates for any adjustments before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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