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icon for Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?

Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?

icon for Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?

Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?

Elin Norén 84%

Sofia Jarl 5.4%

Kent Ekeroth <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Elin Norén 84%

Sofia Jarl 5.4%

Kent Ekeroth <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Elin Norén

Elin Norén

$4,046 Vol.

84%

icon for Sofia Jarl

Sofia Jarl

$576 Vol.

5%

icon for Kent Ekeroth

Kent Ekeroth

$535 Vol.

1%

Local elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Dalarna, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Dalarna following the 2026 Swedish local elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Dalarna; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elin Norén (S) maintains dominant trader consensus at 84% for the next chair of Region Dalarna’s regional executive board, driven by her incumbency since 2022 and leadership of the Samling för Dalarna coalition. This grouping of Social Democrats, Center Party, Christian Democrats, and Dalarnas Sjukvårdsparti holds a majority in the regional assembly ahead of the September 13, 2026 elections. Recent statements from Norén in July 2026 emphasized coalition stability, economic adjustments, and healthcare priorities, reinforcing continuity expectations. Sofia Jarl (C), the current first vice chair, sits at 5%, while Kent Ekeroth (SD) registers minimal support at under 1%, reflecting opposition positioning rather than majority backing. The market’s implied probability aligns with the coalition’s established control and absence of major shifts in polling or alliances within the past month.

Local elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Dalarna, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Dalarna following the 2026 Swedish local elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Dalarna; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,157
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
Local elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Dalarna, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Dalarna following the 2026 Swedish local elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Dalarna; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Local elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Dalarna, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Dalarna following the 2026 Swedish local elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Dalarna; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elin Norén (S) maintains dominant trader consensus at 84% for the next chair of Region Dalarna’s regional executive board, driven by her incumbency since 2022 and leadership of the Samling för Dalarna coalition. This grouping of Social Democrats, Center Party, Christian Democrats, and Dalarnas Sjukvårdsparti holds a majority in the regional assembly ahead of the September 13, 2026 elections. Recent statements from Norén in July 2026 emphasized coalition stability, economic adjustments, and healthcare priorities, reinforcing continuity expectations. Sofia Jarl (C), the current first vice chair, sits at 5%, while Kent Ekeroth (SD) registers minimal support at under 1%, reflecting opposition positioning rather than majority backing. The market’s implied probability aligns with the coalition’s established control and absence of major shifts in polling or alliances within the past month.

Local elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Dalarna, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Dalarna following the 2026 Swedish local elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Dalarna; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,157
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 4:03 AM ET
Local elections to elect the Regional Council of Region Dalarna, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Dalarna following the 2026 Swedish local elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Dalarna; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Elin Norén" at 84%, followed by "Sofia Jarl" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 84¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?" is "Elin Norén" at 84%, meaning the market assigns a 84% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sofia Jarl" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Regional Board Chair of Dalarna?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.