Recent polling in Rondônia’s October 2026 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow edge in several surveys while Sílvia Cristina (PP/União Brasil) leads others, followed by Acir Gurgacz (PDT), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho. Multiple viable candidates from established parties, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat structure, sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, turnout patterns among key regional blocs, and any late polling movements or candidate withdrawals could widen gaps among the leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place
Dr. Fernando Máximo 65%
Sílvia Cristina 15%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 11%
Luis Fernando 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
65%
Sílvia Cristina
12%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
11%
Luis Fernando
7%
Luciana Oliveira
6%
Aires Mota
6%
Acir Gurgacz
6%
Mariana Carvalho
6%
Engenheiro Thulio
5%
Neidinha
5%
Dr. Fernando Máximo 65%
Sílvia Cristina 15%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid 11%
Luis Fernando 7%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Dr. Fernando Máximo
$509 Vol.
65%
Sílvia Cristina
$121 Vol.
12%
Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid
$129 Vol.
11%
Luis Fernando
$105 Vol.
7%
Luciana Oliveira
$132 Vol.
6%
Aires Mota
$136 Vol.
6%
Acir Gurgacz
$129 Vol.
6%
Mariana Carvalho
$105 Vol.
6%
Engenheiro Thulio
$159 Vol.
5%
Neidinha
$155 Vol.
5%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia’s October 2026 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow edge in several surveys while Sílvia Cristina (PP/União Brasil) leads others, followed by Acir Gurgacz (PDT), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho. Multiple viable candidates from established parties, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat structure, sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, turnout patterns among key regional blocs, and any late polling movements or candidate withdrawals could widen gaps among the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ET
Volume
$1,681End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rondônia’s October 2026 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow edge in several surveys while Sílvia Cristina (PP/União Brasil) leads others, followed by Acir Gurgacz (PDT), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho. Multiple viable candidates from established parties, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat structure, sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, turnout patterns among key regional blocs, and any late polling movements or candidate withdrawals could widen gaps among the leaders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rondônia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,681End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Rondônia’s October 2026 Senate contest shows a fragmented field, with Dr. Fernando Máximo (PL) holding a narrow edge in several surveys while Sílvia Cristina (PP/União Brasil) leads others, followed by Acir Gurgacz (PDT), Bruno Bolsonaro Scheid (PL), and Mariana Carvalho. Multiple viable candidates from established parties, combined with undecided voters and the two-seat structure, sustain the close implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing. Shifting alliances ahead of the October 4 vote, turnout patterns among key regional blocs, and any late polling movements or candidate withdrawals could widen gaps among the leaders.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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