National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
5月14日奥斯汀的最高温度？
82°F或更高 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 交易量
$91,314 交易量
2026-05-14
63°F或以下
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82°F或更高
是
82°F或更高 100.0%
63°F或以下 <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$91,314 交易量
$91,314 交易量
2026-05-14
63°F或以下
$9,142 交易量
否
64-65°F
$3,324 交易量
否
66-67°F
$7,014 交易量
否
68-69°F
$5,391 交易量
否
70-71°F
$6,164 交易量
否
72-73°F
$5,631 交易量
否
74-75°F
$5,532 交易量
否
76-77°F
$6,860 交易量
否
78-79°F
$5,842 交易量
否
80-81°F
$10,528 交易量
否
82°F或更高
$25,885 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$91,314结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$91,314结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
National Weather Service forecasts confirm a high near 92°F in Austin today under mostly sunny skies and light south-southeasterly winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 82°F or higher as models like the GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on persistent upper-ridge dominance suppressing cooler air intrusions. Current observations already exceed 87°F midday at key stations like Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, well above the mid-May climatological average of 86°F, with minimal cloud cover and dry conditions limiting evaporative cooling. Realistic challenges include isolated severe storms or unexpected high cloud deck ahead of a distant cold front, potentially capping highs below 82°F, though probabilities remain near zero per official guidance; monitor hourly NWS updates through late afternoon for final peak temperatures.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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