Forecast models from Indonesia’s Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) and international guidance indicate a daily maximum temperature of 33 °C in Jakarta on May 16, consistent with the city’s May climatology of 31–34 °C under typical equatorial trade-wind flow and moderate humidity. No heat-wave indicators, such as suppressed convection or anomalous subsidence, appear in the latest runs, supporting the market’s near-certain 33 °C resolution. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if afternoon observations at the official Kemayoran station exceed model consensus by 1–2 °C due to localized urban heat-island effects, but current data place that outcome below 1 % probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 16?
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$72,532 Vol.
$72,532 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C or higher <1%
$72,532 Vol.
$72,532 Vol.
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast models from Indonesia’s Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG) and international guidance indicate a daily maximum temperature of 33 °C in Jakarta on May 16, consistent with the city’s May climatology of 31–34 °C under typical equatorial trade-wind flow and moderate humidity. No heat-wave indicators, such as suppressed convection or anomalous subsidence, appear in the latest runs, supporting the market’s near-certain 33 °C resolution. Minor upward revisions remain possible only if afternoon observations at the official Kemayoran station exceed model consensus by 1–2 °C due to localized urban heat-island effects, but current data place that outcome below 1 % probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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