Current meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicates Karachi will reach a daytime maximum of 36°C today, supported by numerical models showing consistent results. Sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with sustained winds of 35–50 km/h and low relative humidity, is suppressing further intensification despite ongoing pre-monsoon heating patterns typical for mid-May. This alignment of official observations and forecast ensembles underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus on the 36°C outcome. A shift in steering winds or delayed sea-breeze onset could allow brief spikes above 37°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
$24,648 Vol.
$24,648 Vol.
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
<1%
$24,648 Vol.
$24,648 Vol.
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current meteorological guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicates Karachi will reach a daytime maximum of 36°C today, supported by numerical models showing consistent results. Sea-breeze moderation from the Arabian Sea, combined with sustained winds of 35–50 km/h and low relative humidity, is suppressing further intensification despite ongoing pre-monsoon heating patterns typical for mid-May. This alignment of official observations and forecast ensembles underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus on the 36°C outcome. A shift in steering winds or delayed sea-breeze onset could allow brief spikes above 37°C, though current atmospheric conditions make such deviations unlikely before evening cooling sets in.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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