Current atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow, support a daily maximum temperature of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 according to the latest consensus from major forecast models. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align tightly on this peak, matching typical mid-May climatology where regional highs average 18–20°C. Official observations from stations such as Sheremetyevo are expected to confirm this value, with limited variability in final recorded data. A late-day shift to clearer skies or an unexpected warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before the daily observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$57,317 Vol.
$57,317 Vol.
May 16, 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C or higher <1%
$57,317 Vol.
$57,317 Vol.
May 16, 2026
20°C
$9,290 Vol.
100%
21°C
$4,818 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,309 Vol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$8,388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow, support a daily maximum temperature of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 according to the latest consensus from major forecast models. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align tightly on this peak, matching typical mid-May climatology where regional highs average 18–20°C. Official observations from stations such as Sheremetyevo are expected to confirm this value, with limited variability in final recorded data. A late-day shift to clearer skies or an unexpected warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before the daily observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volume
$57,317End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow, support a daily maximum temperature of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 according to the latest consensus from major forecast models. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align tightly on this peak, matching typical mid-May climatology where regional highs average 18–20°C. Official observations from stations such as Sheremetyevo are expected to confirm this value, with limited variability in final recorded data. A late-day shift to clearer skies or an unexpected warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before the daily observation window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,317End Date
May 16, 2026Market Opened
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current atmospheric conditions over central Russia, including a stable high-pressure ridge and moderate southerly flow, support a daily maximum temperature of 20°C in Moscow on May 16 according to the latest consensus from major forecast models. Ensemble runs from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System align tightly on this peak, matching typical mid-May climatology where regional highs average 18–20°C. Official observations from stations such as Sheremetyevo are expected to confirm this value, with limited variability in final recorded data. A late-day shift to clearer skies or an unexpected warm-air advection could push readings slightly higher, though current guidance assigns low probability to such changes before the daily observation window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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