In Brazil's Tocantins Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, a crowded field of 13 candidates has kept the contest for first place highly fragmented, with no candidate securing a clear advantage in early polling. A late July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed Eduardo Gomes (PL) narrowly ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, followed closely by Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), while names such as Eli Borges, Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo registered lower single-digit support. The absence of subsequent statewide surveys and ongoing party negotiations over alliances have sustained uncertainty, as vote splits among multiple contenders from major parties could shift quickly with campaign momentum or endorsements. Trader consensus reflects this even distribution ahead of the first-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedProfessor Osvaldo 45%
Ronaldo Dimas 45%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 45%
Paulo Mourão 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Professor Osvaldo
45%
Ronaldo Dimas
45%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
45%
Paulo Mourão
44%
Gaguim
43%
Nilton Santos
43%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
42%
Eduardo Gomes
42%
Eli Borges
42%
Fábio Ribeiro
41%
Osvany Luz
28%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
27%
Alexandre Guimarães
27%
Professor Osvaldo 45%
Ronaldo Dimas 45%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo 45%
Paulo Mourão 44%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Professor Osvaldo
$0 Vol.
45%
Ronaldo Dimas
$0 Vol.
45%
Vanderlei Luxemburgo
$0 Vol.
45%
Paulo Mourão
$0 Vol.
44%
Gaguim
$0 Vol.
43%
Nilton Santos
$0 Vol.
43%
Apóstolo Flavio Braga
$0 Vol.
42%
Eduardo Gomes
$0 Vol.
42%
Eli Borges
$0 Vol.
42%
Fábio Ribeiro
$0 Vol.
41%
Osvany Luz
$0 Vol.
28%
Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
27%
Alexandre Guimarães
$0 Vol.
27%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Tocantins Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, a crowded field of 13 candidates has kept the contest for first place highly fragmented, with no candidate securing a clear advantage in early polling. A late July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed Eduardo Gomes (PL) narrowly ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, followed closely by Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), while names such as Eli Borges, Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo registered lower single-digit support. The absence of subsequent statewide surveys and ongoing party negotiations over alliances have sustained uncertainty, as vote splits among multiple contenders from major parties could shift quickly with campaign momentum or endorsements. Trader consensus reflects this even distribution ahead of the first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil's Tocantins Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, a crowded field of 13 candidates has kept the contest for first place highly fragmented, with no candidate securing a clear advantage in early polling. A late July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed Eduardo Gomes (PL) narrowly ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, followed closely by Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), while names such as Eli Borges, Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo registered lower single-digit support. The absence of subsequent statewide surveys and ongoing party negotiations over alliances have sustained uncertainty, as vote splits among multiple contenders from major parties could shift quickly with campaign momentum or endorsements. Trader consensus reflects this even distribution ahead of the first-round vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil's Tocantins Senate race for the October 4, 2026, election, a crowded field of 13 candidates has kept the contest for first place highly fragmented, with no candidate securing a clear advantage in early polling. A late July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed Eduardo Gomes (PL) narrowly ahead in both spontaneous and stimulated scenarios, followed closely by Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and Carlos Gaguim (União), while names such as Eli Borges, Paulo Mourão, Ronaldo Dimas, and Vanderlei Luxemburgo registered lower single-digit support. The absence of subsequent statewide surveys and ongoing party negotiations over alliances have sustained uncertainty, as vote splits among multiple contenders from major parties could shift quickly with campaign momentum or endorsements. Trader consensus reflects this even distribution ahead of the first-round vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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