Alan Rick leads trader pricing for the Acre governor race at 59.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis at 39.5%, reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling amid a field of six registered candidates. The contest remains competitive because Mailza, the incumbent who assumed the governorship after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, has narrowed gaps in late-July and early-August surveys through steady approval ratings and party machinery, while Alan benefits from his Senate profile and broader name recognition. Other contenders such as Tião Bocalom trail further back, limiting vote fragmentation risks for the top two. With the first round set for October 4 and a potential runoff on October 25, late shifts in undecided voters, campaign alliances, or turnout among key regional blocs could still widen or close the margin before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 60%
Mailza Assis 40%
Eudo Raffael 1.7%
Thor Dantas <1%
$15,381 Vol.
$15,381 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
60%
Mailza Assis
40%
Eudo Raffael
2%
Thor Dantas
<1%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Alan Rick 60%
Mailza Assis 40%
Eudo Raffael 1.7%
Thor Dantas <1%
$15,381 Vol.
$15,381 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$10,631 Vol.
60%
Mailza Assis
$3,982 Vol.
40%
Eudo Raffael
$278 Vol.
2%
Thor Dantas
$149 Vol.
<1%
Tião Bocalom
$133 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
$208 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick leads trader pricing for the Acre governor race at 59.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis at 39.5%, reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling amid a field of six registered candidates. The contest remains competitive because Mailza, the incumbent who assumed the governorship after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, has narrowed gaps in late-July and early-August surveys through steady approval ratings and party machinery, while Alan benefits from his Senate profile and broader name recognition. Other contenders such as Tião Bocalom trail further back, limiting vote fragmentation risks for the top two. With the first round set for October 4 and a potential runoff on October 25, late shifts in undecided voters, campaign alliances, or turnout among key regional blocs could still widen or close the margin before ballots close.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$15,381End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Alan Rick leads trader pricing for the Acre governor race at 59.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis at 39.5%, reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling amid a field of six registered candidates. The contest remains competitive because Mailza, the incumbent who assumed the governorship after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, has narrowed gaps in late-July and early-August surveys through steady approval ratings and party machinery, while Alan benefits from his Senate profile and broader name recognition. Other contenders such as Tião Bocalom trail further back, limiting vote fragmentation risks for the top two. With the first round set for October 4 and a potential runoff on October 25, late shifts in undecided voters, campaign alliances, or turnout among key regional blocs could still widen or close the margin before ballots close.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,381End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alan Rick leads trader pricing for the Acre governor race at 59.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis at 39.5%, reflecting his consistent edge in most recent polling amid a field of six registered candidates. The contest remains competitive because Mailza, the incumbent who assumed the governorship after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, has narrowed gaps in late-July and early-August surveys through steady approval ratings and party machinery, while Alan benefits from his Senate profile and broader name recognition. Other contenders such as Tião Bocalom trail further back, limiting vote fragmentation risks for the top two. With the first round set for October 4 and a potential runoff on October 25, late shifts in undecided voters, campaign alliances, or turnout among key regional blocs could still widen or close the margin before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions