Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads the Sergipe gubernatorial market at 69.5% due to incumbency advantages and a broad coalition that includes PT, PP, and União Brasil. Recent polls from early August, such as Real Time Big Data, show him at 43% against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 40% in the first round, within the margin of error, confirming a competitive race ahead of the October 4 vote. Minor candidates like Dr. Helton, Emanuel Cacho, Ricardo Marques, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their single-digit or lower polling and limited party infrastructure. Traders appear to weigh Mitidieri's established position and alliance strength more heavily than the narrow polling gap, though the second-round runoff dynamic and remaining campaign period introduce scope for movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFábio 71%
Valmir de Francisquinho 8%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$10,119 Vol.
$10,119 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fábio
71%
Valmir de Francisquinho
8%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
1%
Emanuel Cacho
1%
Dr. Helton
<1%
Ricardo Marques
<1%
Fábio 71%
Valmir de Francisquinho 8%
Taty Cristina de Jesus <1%
Emanuel Cacho <1%
$10,119 Vol.
$10,119 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Fábio
$8,107 Vol.
71%
Valmir de Francisquinho
$501 Vol.
8%
Taty Cristina de Jesus
$305 Vol.
1%
Emanuel Cacho
$391 Vol.
1%
Dr. Helton
$430 Vol.
<1%
Ricardo Marques
$385 Vol.
<1%
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads the Sergipe gubernatorial market at 69.5% due to incumbency advantages and a broad coalition that includes PT, PP, and União Brasil. Recent polls from early August, such as Real Time Big Data, show him at 43% against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 40% in the first round, within the margin of error, confirming a competitive race ahead of the October 4 vote. Minor candidates like Dr. Helton, Emanuel Cacho, Ricardo Marques, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their single-digit or lower polling and limited party infrastructure. Traders appear to weigh Mitidieri's established position and alliance strength more heavily than the narrow polling gap, though the second-round runoff dynamic and remaining campaign period introduce scope for movement.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$10,119End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads the Sergipe gubernatorial market at 69.5% due to incumbency advantages and a broad coalition that includes PT, PP, and União Brasil. Recent polls from early August, such as Real Time Big Data, show him at 43% against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 40% in the first round, within the margin of error, confirming a competitive race ahead of the October 4 vote. Minor candidates like Dr. Helton, Emanuel Cacho, Ricardo Marques, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their single-digit or lower polling and limited party infrastructure. Traders appear to weigh Mitidieri's established position and alliance strength more heavily than the narrow polling gap, though the second-round runoff dynamic and remaining campaign period introduce scope for movement.
The Sergipe gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$10,119End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Fábio Mitidieri (PSD), the incumbent governor seeking re-election, leads the Sergipe gubernatorial market at 69.5% due to incumbency advantages and a broad coalition that includes PT, PP, and União Brasil. Recent polls from early August, such as Real Time Big Data, show him at 43% against Valmir de Francisquinho (Republicanos) at 40% in the first round, within the margin of error, confirming a competitive race ahead of the October 4 vote. Minor candidates like Dr. Helton, Emanuel Cacho, Ricardo Marques, and Taty Cristina register negligible support, consistent with their single-digit or lower polling and limited party infrastructure. Traders appear to weigh Mitidieri's established position and alliance strength more heavily than the narrow polling gap, though the second-round runoff dynamic and remaining campaign period introduce scope for movement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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