**Alan Rick (Republicanos) leads the Acre gubernatorial race with 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis (PP) at 38.5%, while Tião Bocalom (PSDB), Thor Dantas (PSB), Eudo Raffael (PCB), Dr. Luisinho (Agir), and others trail far behind.** Multiple June–July 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, show Rick consistently ahead in the first-round estimulada scenario (38–41%) and projected runoffs, supported by his Senate record and party infrastructure. Assis, who assumed the governorship in 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, trails despite 63–67% approval for her administration and benefits from incumbency. Official conventions in July–August confirmed the six-candidate field ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Low support for minor candidates aligns with polling showing them below 5–7%. Current trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts in the closely watched northern state contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlan Rick 62%
Mailza Assis 39%
Thor Dantas 1.1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$15,431 Vol.
$15,431 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
62%
Mailza Assis
39%
Thor Dantas
1%
Eudo Raffael
1%
Tião Bocalom
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
<1%
Alan Rick 62%
Mailza Assis 39%
Thor Dantas 1.1%
Eudo Raffael <1%
$15,431 Vol.
$15,431 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Alan Rick
$10,631 Vol.
62%
Mailza Assis
$4,007 Vol.
39%
Thor Dantas
$169 Vol.
1%
Eudo Raffael
$283 Vol.
1%
Tião Bocalom
$133 Vol.
<1%
Dr. Luisinho
$208 Vol.
<1%
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alan Rick (Republicanos) leads the Acre gubernatorial race with 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis (PP) at 38.5%, while Tião Bocalom (PSDB), Thor Dantas (PSB), Eudo Raffael (PCB), Dr. Luisinho (Agir), and others trail far behind.** Multiple June–July 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, show Rick consistently ahead in the first-round estimulada scenario (38–41%) and projected runoffs, supported by his Senate record and party infrastructure. Assis, who assumed the governorship in 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, trails despite 63–67% approval for her administration and benefits from incumbency. Official conventions in July–August confirmed the six-candidate field ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Low support for minor candidates aligns with polling showing them below 5–7%. Current trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts in the closely watched northern state contest.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ET
Volume
$15,431End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Alan Rick (Republicanos) leads the Acre gubernatorial race with 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis (PP) at 38.5%, while Tião Bocalom (PSDB), Thor Dantas (PSB), Eudo Raffael (PCB), Dr. Luisinho (Agir), and others trail far behind.** Multiple June–July 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, show Rick consistently ahead in the first-round estimulada scenario (38–41%) and projected runoffs, supported by his Senate record and party infrastructure. Assis, who assumed the governorship in 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, trails despite 63–67% approval for her administration and benefits from incumbency. Official conventions in July–August confirmed the six-candidate field ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Low support for minor candidates aligns with polling showing them below 5–7%. Current trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts in the closely watched northern state contest.
The Acre gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,431End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Alan Rick (Republicanos) leads the Acre gubernatorial race with 61.5% implied probability, ahead of Mailza Assis (PP) at 38.5%, while Tião Bocalom (PSDB), Thor Dantas (PSB), Eudo Raffael (PCB), Dr. Luisinho (Agir), and others trail far behind.** Multiple June–July 2026 polls, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas, show Rick consistently ahead in the first-round estimulada scenario (38–41%) and projected runoffs, supported by his Senate record and party infrastructure. Assis, who assumed the governorship in 2026 after Gladson Cameli’s resignation, trails despite 63–67% approval for her administration and benefits from incumbency. Official conventions in July–August confirmed the six-candidate field ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Low support for minor candidates aligns with polling showing them below 5–7%. Current trader consensus reflects these polling trends and the absence of major late shifts in the closely watched northern state contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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