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Breaking News predictions & odds

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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

68%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$7M Vol.

$156K today

$888K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

74%

Avengers: Doomsday

$2M Vol.

$97.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?

45%

Avengers: Doomsday

$12.8K Vol.

$25.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

85%

Not revealed in 2026

$13.3K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

72%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

124

Ends in about 2 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

51%

June 30

$18M Vol.

$298K today

$295K Liq.

460

Ends in about 2 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

54%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

33

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

35%

$11.9K Vol.

$867 Liq.

6

Ends in 16 days

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

US announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?

<1%

$12.2K Vol.

$12.3K Liq.

1

What will Trump say during Bret Baier interview?

What will Trump say during Bret Baier interview?

86%

Iran

$1.1K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$44.2K Liq.

1,035

Ends in about 2 months

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

Israel Announces Ceasefire Extended by...?

61%

May 17

$198K Vol.

$134K today

$56.4K Liq.

9

Ends in 1 day

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

68%

$557K Vol.

$24.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

What will Trump post this week? (May 11 - May 17)

57%

Trust

$6.9K Vol.

$813 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

16%

$8.6K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

48%

Petro - Colombia President

$290K Vol.

$292K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?

17%

$129K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

30

Ends in 8 months

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

77%

December 31

$481K Vol.

$24.6K Liq.

46

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

12%

$291K Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

45

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Breaking News.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Breaking News that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Highest grossing movie in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $35.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 51% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Breaking News predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.