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Natural Disaster predictions & odds

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Natural Disaster in 2026?

Natural Disaster in 2026?

28%

$218K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 8 months

Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

10%

$66.1K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

78%

8+

$2M Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

30

Ends in about 2 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

71%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

123

Ends in about 2 months

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

17%

$153K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

31%

$300K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

4%

$106K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

6%

$7.2K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

$80.3K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

57%

0

$1M Vol.

$31.7K Liq.

9

Ends in 11 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

14%

May 31

$137K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

10

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

1%

$23.9K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

3%

$49.1K Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 16 days

China x India military clash by...?

China x India military clash by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$237K Vol.

$8.8K Liq.

15

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

7%

$10M Vol.

$815K today

$2M Liq.

490

Ends in 8 months

WNCL: ACT Meteors vs New South Wales Breakers - More Markets

WNCL: ACT Meteors vs New South Wales Breakers - More Markets

-

$115 Vol.

$0 Liq.

WNCL: ACT Meteors vs New South Wales Breakers - More Markets

WNCL: ACT Meteors vs New South Wales Breakers - More Markets

-

$283 Vol.

$0 Liq.

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

63%

1250+

$71.7K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

65%

$557K Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

Trump declares election interference national emergency?

28%

$156K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Natural Disaster.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Natural Disaster that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Natural Disaster in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $17.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Natural Disaster predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.